Things have been going badly for Obama the last month, McCain’s constant barrage of negative attacks have hurt his poll numbers and the race has tightened both in national polls and in the statewide race.
electoral-vote.com
fivethirtyeight.com
Pollster.com
Obama now holds a slim overall lead, however in the next few days he has a chance to recover a larger lead as the Democratic national convention begins. Obama’s biggest saving grace is that he retains a lead, albeit slim, going into the conventions, in the last few elections, the leader after both conventions are over tends to win the election.
