Must be an Obama supporter, lol
McCain and 100 Years in Iraq
April 30, 2008 — axt113McCain the RNC complaining about the DNC ad shows just how disingeuous the Republican party is
The ad in question:
MCCain never said where the cutoff point is, US soldiers are dying today and they could be dying in 100 years; where is the point where we say enough? McCain hasn’t stated whether such a point exists.
War News
April 30, 2008 — axt1131073 Iraqis died in April (march had 1083), so the past two months have killed about 2/3rds of the people who died on 9/11; people who had nothing to do with the attack, so much for US making Iraq a better place
Fed cuts rates again
April 30, 2008 — axt113Fed cuts rates, claims last one for a while
My take: I don’t buy it, consumer confidence and housing prices are down, foreclosures are up and the economy is stagnating with only a .6% growth rate in GDP. I think the claims of no more cuts, is too keep the dollar from free-falling and oil prices from rising above $120; its a PR move, nothing more.
Al-Qaeda reconstituting strength in Afghanistan and Pakistan
April 30, 2008 — axt113Well turns out Obama was right to tell us to focus on Pakistan and Afghtanistan:
Al-Qaeda Greatest threat to US
Some hilarious political cartoons
April 30, 2008 — axt113McCain continues to oppose Webb’s plan to help the troops
April 30, 2008 — axt113McCain proves once again that he is wrong for this country:
http://thinkprogress.org/2008/04/30/webb-mccain-is-so-full-of-it/
Politico reports today that Sen. Jim Webb (D-VA) and Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) “are locked in an increasingly intense debate over a shared value: education benefits for veterans.” McCain has made “himself a target by refusing to endorse Webb’s new GI education bill and instead signing on to a Republican alternative.” McCain has charged that Webb’s Senate staff “has not been eager to negotiate” on the bill. “He’s so full of it,” Webb replied, adding, “I have personally talked to John three times. I made a personal call to [McCain aide] Mark Salter months ago asking that they look at this.”
My take: McCain continues to pander in the public eye but refuses to back it up with real substance, he really is following Bush
GDP growth sluggish, beats forecasts
April 30, 2008 — axt113GDP (Gross Domestic Product), grew by .6% for the first quarter when adjusted for inflation, beating the .5% forecasted. However this still shows a sputtering economy, as 3% is usually what is considered a healthy average growth rate in the US.
War News
April 30, 2008 — axt113War In Iraq:
April is the deadliest month in 2007 for our soldiers in Iraq
And If Iraq and Afghanistan weren’t bad enough:
Dollar stabilizing?
April 29, 2008 — axt113The dollar finished up today and oil down, probably because of plans by the fed to stop cutting rates
I doubt this will dop the price below 100, but you might see around 110 tommorow if the fed follows through
Pollsters give me a headache
April 29, 2008 — axt113Arrrrgh, the pollsters are annoying me in Indiana
Okay so Obama’s slightly ahead…no wait
Public Policy Polling Clinton 50/Obama 42
Ok so Clinton’s ahead…no wait
Research 2000 Obama 48/Clinton 47
Obama’s ahead
—————
Ok so to keep from getting dizzy I go to the RCP average, now this average is not perfect, because its just a straight average of the more recent polls, but its better than what we have at the moment, and they have: Clinton ahead by about 2.2 points
So it appears close but Obama has some ground to make up if he wants to overtake her
Obama Denouces his Pastor
April 29, 2008 — axt113On the heels of Former Reverend Wright’s appearance yesterday, Obama gave a press conference
The person I saw yesterday was not the person that I met 20 years ago. His comments were not only divisive and destructive, but I believe that they end up giving comfort to those who prey on hate, and I believe that they do not portray accurately the perspective of the black church.
They certainly don’t portray accurately my values and beliefs. And if Reverend Wright thinks that that’s political posturing, as he put it, then he doesn’t know me very well. And based on his remarks yesterday, well, I might not know him as well as I thought, either.
“I have spent my entire adult life trying to bridge the gap between different kinds of people. That’s in my DNA, trying to promote mutual understanding to insist that we all share common hopes and common dreams as Americans and as human beings. That’s who I am, that’s what I believe, and that’s what this campaign has been about,” Obama said.
“I am outraged by the comments that were made and saddened by the spectacle that we saw yesterday,” he said.
“I gave him the benefit of the doubt in my speech in Philadelphia, explaining that he has done enormous good in the church,” he said. “But when he states and then amplifies such ridiculous propositions as the U.S. government somehow being involved in AIDS; when he suggests that Minister Farrakhan somehow represents one of the greatest voices of the 20th and 21st century; when he equates the U.S. wartime efforts with terrorism – then there are no exuses. They offend me. They rightly offend all Americans. And they should be denounced, and that’s what I’m doing very clearly and unequivocally here today.”
“It is antithetical to my campaign. It is antithetical to what I’m about. It is not what I think America stands for,” he said.
Personally I support this, I respected his decsion not to renounce wright Last month in his Speech on Race, however at this point its was necessary, Wright had gone too far
The economy, no quick fixes
April 29, 2008 — axt113A New Gallup Poll on the Eonomy has 85% of people polledthe economic situation is getting worse
Not surprising considering the current situation:
Home Foreclosures have spiked
Gas is 3.60 a gallon
Food Prices are rising
However quick fixes like a Gas tax holiday are not smart Ideas
Whose the Better Cantidate?
April 29, 2008 — axt113Top map is Obama vs. McCain and the bottom Is Hillary vs McCain, the darker the shade the stronger the lead, and a white center is a statistical tie, while total white is an exact tie
This is from www.fivethirtyeight.com, differences are due to varying map algorithms
Now what this says to me is that Hillary and Obama have Varying strengths, she’s better in the Northeast and in the large states, he’s stronger in the Midwest and the West Coast, but key is getting to 270 votes, right now she has it, but its possible he’ll have it as well; a lot of states for both are still in the margin of error.
Popular vote polls aren’t much better http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/national.html, they have the Democratic cantidates tied or leading McCain [Correction: Since I first posted this the daily Gallup for today came out with Obama 2 points behind McCain, whether this is the start of a trend or just a one day thing, remains to be seen], some have Obama polling better than Clinton against McCain, others have Clinton polling better. Problem is most are within the margin of error, with a few exceptions showing Clinton outside the margin ahead of McCain, whether those are sighns of Clinton’s strength or just outliers remains to be seen.
In the end the best Judge of who is the right choice for the party comes down to whichever polls better in the states with close senate and house races, as the cantidate with better coattails can ensure a larger majority in Congress.
Thankfully Electoral-vote has a map for that as well
From here we can see that the Dems are going to want the cantidate who can run stronger in Colorado, Alaska, North Carolina, Minnesota and Georgia, as those are the states where the races have the best chance of tipping one way or the other, and with the exception of Georgia that is Obama. He polls better in those regions with the close senate races, so his coattails and money will be more beneficial to the cantidates in those states.
